Glorious Goodwood – 9 Bets, 6 Winners + 2 Places:
Fire Fighting WON 8/1
Dutch Connection WON 7/4
The Gurka WON 11/8
Stargazer 3rd 11/2
Kings Fete WON 5/2
Washington DC 2nd 8/1
Poet’s Word WON 11/8
Dal Harralid WON 5/1
2.00 Goodwood – Fire Fighting (e/w) – WON 8/1
Any Mark Johnston runner needs respecting at this meeting, and this chap jumped into our notebook last time at York when finishing very strongly having been caught up in traffic and forced wide. He’d previously run well at Royal Ascot and looks to be finding his best form for this meeting. An excellent 3rd in this race last year off an 8lbs higher mark, and he was a little unlucky in running that day too. He looks to hold strong claims in what is always a competitive event and warrant each way support.
Skybet are refunding bets up to £25 if you don’t win this race, so you could have an extra bet with them, fingers crossed we win, if not re-invest in our 2nd bet. – Dutch Connection WON 9/4
3.20 Ascot – Mustashry (e/w) – WON 8/1 (Adv 12/1)
Pity there are only 15 runners, so just the 3 places in what is a very competitive event; but this chap is considered very well handicapped and goes to post with plenty of confidence behind him, despite a field full of promising types. Just the once raced when 4th at Kempton as a 2yo, he showed plenty of promise on his return to action finishing 2nd at Chelmsford. He then won his maiden very easily before running in the Britannia at Royal Ascot. The ground was a big concern that day and so it proved, as he quickened nicely to put himself in the firing line, only to fade in the closing stages. His work stamps himself down as a class act and this quicker ground is expected to see him show he’s exactly that.
2.40 Newmarket – Mehmas – WON 11/4
Looked very good when winning his first two starts, before slightly disappointing when 2nd in the National Stakes at Sandown, although the drop to 5 furlongs didn’t suit and he was given a little too much to do in chasing the eventual winner. A cracking run last time when 2nd to an impressive winner of the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot, where he had the rest of the field well beaten. That is notoriously the strongest 2yo event at Ascot and we expect this chap to prove that here against the Norfolk Stakes winner in Ardad, who looks the biggest danger.
4.20 Ascot – Twilight Son – WON 7/2
Proven himself to be a top class sprinter last season progressing from a handicapper to a clear 2nd best to the very good Muhaarar last season. A little disappointing on his return, but a combination of the fast ground and being in need of the outing told, as well as being drawn away from the action. He’s reportedly in great shape for this, will appreciate the juice in the ground and is strongly fancied. At the beginning of the season we expected him to prove himself champion sprinter this year and we still expect the same, starting with victory here.
3.40 Ascot – Profitable (e/w) 9/2 – WON 4/1
This chaps has improved immensely from three to four and looks to have been slightly under-estimated following his victory over Mecca’s Angel in the Temple Stakes. It was her first run, but this fellow travelled much the better and won with a little more on hand than the finishing margin suggests. What is more at around 9/2 he can be backed each way. He’s proven himself on soft ground last time, could well be still improving and will be hard to beat.
4.25 Leicester – Taneen – WON 11/4
Was pitched in a little deep on his reappearance this season, in what turned out to be an impossible task with Log Out Island blitzing a decent field and making a number of 100 rated horses looking decidedly average. Taneen struggled to maintain his effort having been sent to chase the runner away winner, and he subsequently faded into 6th place. He still finished in amongst horses rated some 10lbs superior to him. Back to handicap company, this nice looked sprinter from the Roger Varian yard is well fancied & given time is expected to bring the gap between handicapper and group race performer.
2.35 Newcastle – Tawdeea (e/w) – WON 9/1
A lightly raced 4yo who started his career off with Richard Hannon in a fair Newmarket maiden. He’s had two runs for his new yard, winning his maiden last time over an extended mile. On both occasions this year he’s been crying out for a step up in trip. He looks fairly handicapped off a mark of 85, and from a very good yard who find improvement in plenty of horses from other yard he holds strong claims here.
Punchestown 6.40 – Irish Cavalier (e/w) – WON 7/1
A horse we put up for the Paddy Power at Cheltenham, where he travelled like much the best horse in the race, but tired in the soft ground close him. That signalled him as a top class handicapper for the season. Unfortunately he’s raced on either unsuitably soft ground, or most recently in the top class races such as the King George and Gold Cup, where he has been out of his depth. Back into handicap company, on ideal ground conditions, off a handicap mark lower then when he ran at Cheltenham a huge run is to be expected.
6.40 Naas – Fort Del Oro – WON 13/8 < 7/2
Made giant strides last season is a relatively short space of time having not run as a 2yo. Having won her maiden at the 2nd attempt, she was then pitched straight into Group 3 company where she ran a cracker in 3rd behind Mattmu, A Group 2 winner the season before. She then contested a very good listed event at York and came 2nd to the classy Lucky Kristale. She finished off her season with a convincing win at listed level and very much looks a sprinter to follow this year. She showed an abundance of pace on her final start so the 5f trip should be no problem. She’s well fancied to land this before contesting many of the top class sprints this season.
6.10 Aintree – Ivan Grozny (e/w) – WON 16/1
Has bene out of sorts for a while now and as a result runs off an appealing handicap mark. He showed he was very much returning back to his best with an eye-catching run at Cheltenham last time, where he was right in the mix over the last, but wasn’t suited by the very long run on, with the final hurdle being omitted. Still only a six year old, and lightly raced, he was considered a graded performer a couple pf seasons and holds strong claims here at around 14/1.
7.45 Kempton – Prince of Arran – WON 7/1
A really interesting 6 runner race and one we expect to produce a good number of winners. The Fav, Lord George looked a promising type last year and won cosily on his final start at Wolverhampton; but the word has been persistent for Prince of Arran and we’re expecting a big run. He improved with each outing last year, winning nicely on his final start here at Kempton. The step up in trip will suit, he’s very well regarded by connections and is expected to run a big race.
3.30 Cheltenham – Don Cossack – Already advised 6/1 – WON 9/4
Advised as a part of our Ante Post Coup, we’re very much expecting to land the Blue Riband event with the top rated chaser around. Having proved himself top top class at Aintree and Punchestown last season, he picked up a few easier races at the start of the season, with the minimum of fuss. Despite falling two out at the King George, that run proved again that he’s the best chaser around, as on ground he wouldn’t have relished around a track that wasn’t ideal, he’d probably have won if he hadn’t fallen. A really strong stayer, he gets better the further they go, he’ll love this drying ground and will be very hard to beat. At around 3/1 this morning, he rates a superb bet.
2.05 Cheltenham – Superb Story & Some Plan – Both (e/w) – WON 8/1
We’ve been waiting for Superb Story to run again ever since he’s excellent run in the Greatwood when 2nd to Old Guard, where they pulled clear of the field. Old Guard progressed all season and is rated considerably higher now. Superb Story has been saved for this to look after his handicap mark, had previously won on good ground, has everything in his favour and is sure to runa huge race.
Some Plan is very interesting having not really had a chance to sure his true ability. Previously with Tom George, he was sent out aggressively on numerous occasions including the Supreme Novices hurdle last season, but understandably at times got reeled in but some classy animals. Since switching to the Nicholls yard this season, he’s run with immense promise on both his runs on ground simply softer than he’s want. He’s proven on better ground, travels superbly well for new connections and with conditions finally to suit will be able to quicken on put himself right in the firing line.
1.30 Cheltenham – Clan Des Obeaux & Ivanovich Gorbatov – Both (ew) – WON 9/2
Clan Des Obeaux looks very much over-priced, having been incredibly impressive winning first time at Newbury quickening in the style of a really nice sort. He found one too good last time over course & distance, but they raced for home early that day and a couple come from off the pace & he just couldn’t quicken on the very soft ground. He travelled like the best horse in the race that day, will without doubt relish this quicker ground and hold strong claims.
Ivanovich Gorbatov looks sparkling when winning his debut over hurdles beating Lets Dance on convincing fashion. He disappointed last time, but that was on very hold ground and he can be forgiven that run, as he showed a preference for better ground on the flat. Lets Dance travelled like a better horse than the winner that day and with this fellow having already proved himself better than her, a return to his debut run on this preferable ground will see him take a fair deal of beating.
A competitive race, we’d have a slight preference for Ivanovich Gorbatov, but couldn’t let Clan Des Obeaux run without being with him at 16/1
Cheltenham 4.50 – Diego Du Charmil (e/w) – WON 13/2
A complete dark horse, making his UK debut, but the stable won the Coral Cup last year with a UK debutant and the vibes surrounding this son of Ballingary indicate a massive run is expected. His work is reportedly as good as any juvenile hurdler the stable have at home, so a mark of 134 is being exploited here, rather than aiming him at the Triumph Hurdle. Clearly a competitive but he’s very much expected to prove himself a nice sort for the future.
Cheltenham 4.50 – Minella Rocco (e/w) – WON 8/1
Had been a huge disappointment this season until a much improved effort last time, which is not the biggest surprise as the stable tends to start the season slowly, and builds towards this meeting. Considered a potential RSA Chase contender at the start of the season, his run last time would probably put him in that race with a bit of a chance, but the stable have More of That running. He stayed on so well last time, that we immediately thought this race would be ideal for him and are happy to see him here. He’s one of the classier runners in the field and with a good round of jumping has a massive chance.
3.25 Newbury – Sametegal (e/w) – WON 7/1
A race that Paul Nicholls has dominated in recent years and he holds strong claims with two runners; and although a few pundits are favouring the chances of Art Masquerade, we prefer the chances of Sametegal now sent into handicap company for the first time. He was a decent hurdler, 3rd in a Triumph Hurdle and 2nd in a Greatwood Hurdle, he’s fairly handicapped on his hurdles form off a mark 7lbs lower than his higher mark over the smaller obstacles. A very promising race behind More Of That at Cheltenham in November, he was unfortunate not to win last time, having got caught on the line. This bigger field and the chance to get some cover and be delivered late will be ideal for this fellow and he’s fancied to run a huge race.
3.45 Lingfield – Lunar Diety (e/w) – WON 5/1
A pity we’ve only 7 runners for a top two finish for each way purposes, but we fancy this chap to return to winning ways here in a tight knit handicap. He’s been running very well of late over an inadequate trip of 7 furlongs, finishing his race off as well as any and will appreciate this step back up to a mile. He won well at Chelmsford when last racing over a mile 3 starts ago and although 5lbs higher in the weights, he looked like he had that up his sleeve that day. The stable are in fine form and a big run is expected.
3.30 Lingfield – Attain (e/w) – WON 7/1
Although the Gordon Elliott runner has to be respected, he’s yet to win over this trip. Attain is very much a 10 furlong horse and is well handicapped at present, running here off a 5lb lower mark than when winning over C&D in July. Unlucky in running on his last two outings, will a little more luck, he’ll go very close here.
2.25 Ascot – Thistlecrack – WON 2/1
Proved to be a decent staying novice hurdler last year and backed that up with a really impressive victory last time in the Long Distance hurdle at Newbury. This is always a grueling test of stamina, and this fellow stays very well. He already looks a leading contender for the Stayers hurdler in March and can confirm that here.
1.15 Cheltenham – Pearls Legend (e/w) – WON 15/2
A very consistent chaser who deserves to land one of these decent races and with the ground on the soft side, he holds strong claims here. A strong front runner, he paid for setting a very strong pace at Cheltenham 2 runs ago, and did very well to battle on to the line. Another good run last time at Newbury, a bold run is again expected.
1.30 Doncaster – Sego Success (e/w) – WON 4/1
A really progressive chaser last year and one we’ve not seen the best of yet. We can ignore his last run, where a bad blunder put paid to his chances. This looks a good deal easier today and with the stable enjoying a good run of late, this chap should be hard to beat. Headgear on to help just sharpen him up; he’s strongly fancied.
3.35 Sandown – Caroles Destrier (e/w) – WON 5/1
A progressive chaser last season and one that looked full of potential when winning a decent event at Ascot last year, finishing off the race very strongly. Very much in need of his reappearance, he ran a race full of promise having travelled very well for a long way. With that race under his belt, he’s fancied to continue last years progression and take a good deal of beating here.
Cheltenham 2.40 – Old Guard (e/w) – WON 12/1
/ Renneti (e/w) – 4th 9/1
A hugely competitive race and although were loathed to desert Nabucco after he won well for us last time, Old Guard looked even better when bolting up for us here at Cheltenham. He looked far better than the rest that day and is confidently expected to run another massive race here today. The very much unexposed Renneti must also be supported having run a blinder in the Cesarewitch he could be much better than we seen as yet.
Exeter 2.20 – Vibrato Valtat – WON 5/2
Had a excellent campaign over fences last season, improving in leaps and bounds and winning on 4 occasions. He runs well fresh and is reportedly in rude health for his return to action. He wasn’t far off the best of the Novice Chasers last year and getting weight from Sire De Grugy & Gods Owns, he’s very well fancied. His record in small fields is very good and he’s taken to add another “1” to his form figures.
Ascot 2.50 – Nabucco – WON 7/2
An exciting hurdles recruit having been very useful on the flat, winning at listed level. Impressive in his last two novice hurdles, and he looks well handicapped based on his previous flat rating. This is a big step up in class, but he’s potentially better than these and may well progress right to the top; he looks a class act.
5.40 Cheltenham – Old Guard (e/w) – WON 8/1
The are absolutely flying with their last 4 runners all winning, albeit at short odds, and this chap is well fancied on his reappearance. The better ground is expected to be ideal, he’s thought to have really strengthened over the winter and is considered better than his current mark.
Newmarket 3.10 – Grumeti (e/w) WON 50/1
No account bet advised in the ridiculously competitive Cesarewitch, but two we feel could run well at big prices are Grumeti, a decent performer over the sticks, ran a nice race last time, which looked like a bit of a spin for this, and he’s well handicapped. Also, Nearly Caught, who ran a cracker when 6th last year, is an improved performer this season so off a mark just 4lbs higher, holds sound claims from a good draw.
Doncaster 3.10 – Limato – WON 9/2
Top class 2yo, unbeaten in four and looking very much a class act, with a potent turn of foot. He won well on hi reappearance and has found just one good each time since. His 2nd to Muhaaarar at Royal Ascot is the best form on show here, he comes here very fresh and this extra furlong is expected to suit, he’s well fancied.
Wolverhampton – 7.40 Manolito – WON 11/8 < 5/2
Has taken a good while to get the hang of things, winning his first race last time at the 9th attempt. He won in really good style at Chelmsford and holds strong claims under a 6lb penalty. Well regarded by his stable, considering his rating, he’s expected to now progress up the ranks and prove himself a well handicapped individual.
2.00 Goodwood – Hawksmoor (e/w) – Already Advised. WON 5/1
Looked a classy filly when winning at Kempton where she quickened in impressive style having suffered all sorts of trouble in running. The ground would have been a little firm last time when at Newmarket in a similar event and she’s well fancied to step up on that on more suitable ground on Saturday. A few of the bigger bookmakers may well price up early on Friday, she’s over priced at around 7/1.
5.50 Curragh – Covert Love (e/w) – WON 7/1
A decent field for the Irish Oaks and this improving filly for Hugo Palmer is fancied to repay the supplementary fee connections have paid. Really impressive last time when winning a decent event against her elders, she’s crying out for this step up in trip and it’ll be very disappointing if she isn’t right in the mix at the business end of the race.
3.45 Newmarket – Muhaarar (MAX BET) – WON 2/1
A very good 2yo, he loooked sure to be competing at the highest level after winning the Greenham in his return to action. Had no run in the French Guineas, but then posted quite possibly the best 3yo six furlong sprint performance in 10 years!! He looked sensational when winning the Commonwealth Cup and looks a potential star sprinter!!
5.00 Ascot – Arab Dawn (e/w) – WON 6/1
A really competitive handicap, but this chap has been on our radar ever since an eye catching reappearance at Newmarket, and has clearly been laid out for this race. With Richard Hughes booked, we’re expecting a massive run with conditions to suit this lightly raced 4yo.
4.20 Ascot – Ervedya – WON 3/1
Although the two Irish fillies set a high standard, the French raider is the only Classic Winner and she should be vying for favouritism in our eyes. Very close to Found as a 2yo, she’s improved this season and won the French Guineas in real style. She has a potent turn of foot and is well fancied to come out on top.
4.20 Ascot – Free Eagle – 5/2
Lightly raced and one we’ve been looking forward to making his 4yo debut for a while. An easy win on his reappearance last year he was just found out by the ground when 3rd in the Champion Stakes. Clearly not the easiest to train, but he’s held in the highest regard by a very shrewd operation and is considered to be out of the very top draw. We expect to see a very very good horse here and hope to see him competitive ont only here at at Longchamp on the first Sunday in October too; where he’s best price 20/1!!
2.30 Ascot – Solow – WON 11/8
A cracking race to start the meeting off with Able Friend over from Hong Kong claimed to be a superstar, but he’ll have to be just that to defeat this top draw gelding trained by Freddie Head. Seriously impressive in Dubai and last time in France, he proved himself to be a top class miler and is fancied to prove that once again here.
3.45 York – Twilight Son – WON 5/1
Did the business in style for us at Newmarket and has plenty more to come. Although he took a little while to find his stride at HQ, he was well on top in the end and won with a good deal in hand by a couple of lengths. He’ll have improved a good deal for that run and like with his top class sibling Music Maker can progress into pattern company sooner rather than later. Although Scalzo will prove a worth market rival, this chap is one to follow.
8.15 Sandown – Consort (Max Bet) – WON 11/4
This exciting colt makes his belated reappearance having not been ready for the 2000 Guineas. That patience is expected to be rewarded with victory here before a Group Race target at Royal Ascot. Just once race, but he was very impressive in winning his maiden last year, and that race has worked out exceptionally well. He’s working very well, and is very much expected to do the business here.
4.05 Goodwood – Quest for More – WON 9/2
A decent staying handicapper and he posted an excellent run at Newmarket that screamed out “one to follow next time”.. He pulled a fair bit that day, travelling a little stronger than you’d want for a stayer, so did very well to stay on all the way to the line behind a well regarded winner. He’ll be better for this step up in trip and if settling well will be a tough nut to crack.
2000 Guineas, 3.45 Newmarket – Gleneagles – WON 4/1
We’re now looking at a fair price for the market leader who’s been much shorter in recent weeks. The O’Brien team have scooped this prize on numerous occasions and look to have another strong contender. A winner of the Group One National Stakes at the Curragh along with the Group One Prix Jean Luc Lagardere at Longchamp, although demoted to third; he was the best horse in the race!! He has the form in the book, and will have been primed for this day. A worthy favourite and the most likely winner.
5.30 Punchestown – Felix Younger (e/w) – WON 5/1
This chap has always promised to be a high class performer and put in a career best last time when winning at Navan in impressive style, even after clattering the final fence. Although he looks the stables 2nd string with Ruby Walsh on Champagne Fever, we strongly fancy this fellow to run a massive race. He’s versatile with regards ground and trip and with the likelihood of a strong gallop, the race should be run to suit.
Aintree 3.25 – Don Cossack – WON 3/1
Ran a cracker at Cheltenham, and was a little unlucky not to have gotten a little closer. A mistake when the pace quickened didn’t help, he was then badly hampered two out, before rallying well in the run to the line. A model of consistency this year, he’s a top class performer, would have beaten Champagne Fever earlier in the year and looks the one to beat.
Aintree 2.15 – All Yours (e/w) – WON 16/1
Hargam will be hard to beat, but at odds on, we’ll leave him alone and side with this improving Paul Nicholls runner. He was very unlucky at Cheltenham when 5th in the Fred Winter, getting hampered on a couple of occasions and losing all momentum at one stage. This quicker ground will suit, and he’s strongly fancied to run a huge race at a decent price. Ladbrokes go 8/1 without the Fav which very much appeals.
2.50 Kempton – Lady Dutch – WON 15/8
A really impressive first run for her new stable over course and distance last time, when showing a very good turn of foot to go clear in the home straight. The stable are in excellent form and she’s very much expected to add another victory here. A really good prospect for the season.
1.40 Lingfield – Fresles – WON 7/2
An interesting contender from France, who holds very strong claims on her previous visit to these shores when a very good 2nd at Listed level here over six furlongs, in what would rate a better race than this. She stays this trip well, has had a nice pipe opener in Chantilly to get her spot on for this and could well taking a good deal of passing.
Cheltenham 4.40 – Cause of Causes (e/w) – WON 8/1
The Festival has very much been the aimed all season for this chap, as it was last season where but for a blunder at the last fence he’d have won the Amateur Riders Chase for sure. A light campaign again, just 6lbs higher than last season, he’s set for another massive run. Plenty of respect for Very Wood who won for us at 33/1 last year, but Cause of Causes just preferred.
Cheltenham 3.20 – Faugheen – WON 4/5
It’s hard to look past Faugheen here following an unbeaten run thus far. He may not have beaten much thus far this year, but his novice form is rock solid and the manner in which he’s won each of his races has had the look of a superstar. Connections know what’s required to win this and it’ll be a big surprise if “Faugheen the Machine” doesn’t deliver.
Cheltenham 2.40 – The Druids Nephew (e/w) – WON 8/1
Ran a really good race over hurdles last time behind World Hurdle contender Saphir Du Rheu, having previously run a decent race in the Hennessy. A light campaign with Cheltenham being the target, he’s run well here on his last two visits to the Festival, along with a good 2nd to Sam Winner here in November; a big run is very much on the cards again.
Tuesday: Supreme Novices Hurdle – Douvan 5/1 (Sky Bet)
A really impressive young hurdler from the all conquering Willie Mullins yard and very much fancied to follow in the footsteps of Vatour from the same stable last year. Douvan won very impressively on his hurdles debut, where the 2nd has since won at Grade One level. The plan is to run in the Grade 2 Moscow Flyer Novices Hurdle at Punchestown on Saturday, a race Vatour also won last year prior to Cheltenham. A victory there will see this son of Walk in the Park shorten in the betting. History is expected to strike twice.
WON 2/1 – Advised 5/1
4.45 Kempton – Presumido (e/w) – WON 7/1
Forget his last run and with the hood off, he simply failed to settle and unsurprisingly faded in the closing stages. He’s previous win over course and distances was an excellent effort and he still looks one of real interest now tried over this trip. With the hood back on, he rates an excellent ew bet at around 10/1. A repeat of his winning performance in late December makes him hard to beat.
3.35 Sandown – Le Reve – WON 5/1
(Saver Beforeall ew) – 3rd 8/1 < 25/1
Le Reve ran a cracker last time when 3rd to the progressive Young Master and has an excellent record over these fences. Still lightly raced and improving, he’s sure to run a massive race.
Beforeall is expected to bounce back following a breathing operation, is well handicapped and this teak tough chaser can run a massive race at a massive price, currently available at 25/1.
3.35 Sandown – Unioniste – WON 5/2 < 4/1
A very encouraging reappearance in the Hennessey when reportedly very much in need of the run, a good deal of improvement is expected here. Hasn’t quite scaled the heights many thought he would when he won a big handicap at Cheltenham in 2012, but has competed largely at a higher level than this. With conditions in his favour, he should take a good deal of beating here, before his sights are set higher once more.
3.15 Cheltenham – Ulzana’s Raid – WON 9/2
A really progressive young hurdler for the Alan King yard and one we expect to hear a good deal more about. Won well on his reappearance here at Cheltenham at the November meeting and has reportedly improved again for that run. Held an entry in the Relkeel Hurdle on Saturday, he’s held in really high regard and is expected to prove himself better than his revised handicap mark.
6.20 Kempton – Anglophile (e/w) – WON 7/1
Although stable mate Solidarity heads the market, there is every reason to be on the side of this improving 3yo. Already a victor over the Fav when winning at Leicester in June on soft ground, his following run when 4th of 5, was actually a very good run, with the form proving very very strong from that race. Just collared by Bancnuanaheireann last time, he’s weighted to reverse that form and has reportedly improved for that run. A valuable 5lbs claimed by his decent young jockey, the seemingly 2nd string is well fancied here.
12.50 Newbury – Royal Regatta – WON 11/4
A real chasing type for the in form Philip Hobbs yard, he’s very much expected to improve on what was a good season last year over hurdles, now he’s tackling the bigger obstacles. A winner twice over hurdles last season, he made a very encouraging return to action when 3rd at Kempton and is well fancied on this his chase debut.
3.15 Cheltenham – Garde La Victoire (e/w) – WON 10/1
Lightly raced and open to plenty of improvement, he finished last season in good style, winning at Taunton and then impressively here at Cheltenham in April. A little unlucky on his reappearance when hitting the last couple of hurdles, having looked the likely winner. On top of his game for this and well fancied in what is always a competitive renewal
Curragh 5.20 – Second Step – WON 13/2
An improving handicapper and a little unlucky last time in a competitive handicap. A slight step up in grade here but one what we’ve not seen the best of yet. Well worth a crack at this level and will be a nice ew price
York 4.10 – Mutamakkin – WON 7/2
Given an easy time on debut at Newmarket, and will have benefitted a good deal for that experience. Good messages from Newmarket, been working nicely since and expected to make it 2nd time lucky
Ascot 3.05 – Telmeyd – WON 13/8
Very progressive sprinter and one we’ve not seen to best of yet. A winner of his maiden and then handicap debut at Ripon, he stepped up hugely in grade last time at Ascot. He completely missed the break giving a decent field some 5 lengths; but given time to get and not rushed early on, he flew home into 4th place, beaten a couple of lengths. Improving all the time, he’s potentially top class and fancied to win here today
Newbury 4.40 – Lady Lara (e/w) – WON 6/1
Holds really good claims under the conditions of this event getting weight from the colts, along with the weight for age concession. A really good 5th at Royal Ascot, she’s then been held up to get longer trips on her last two starts and gone very close. Back to a more suitable trip here and dropping down in grade having contesting at Group level last time, she holds strong claims
7.55 Kempton – Sloane Avenue – WON 6/1
Looked a promising prospect when bolting up in what was albeit a fairly weak maiden at Lingfield in February. Then stepped up into listed level in May such is the regard the horse is held in but ran no race at all. The stable were woefully out of form at the time, failing to have one winner that month. With the yard in very good form now, this lightly raced 3yo, who holds a Cambridgeshire entry is strongly fancied this evening
4.55 York – Bragging – WON 10/3
Very progressive 3yo for the Sir Michael Stoute yard. Still open to plenty of improvement having only raced four times to date and stamped herself as a useful handicapper when winning in style at Newmarket last time. Up 10lbs for that win, but she won very well and has reportedly taken a good few steps forward since then as well. She is expected to prove herself better than her handicap mark
3.55 Newmarket – Fattsota (e/w) – WON 4/1
Stepping back up to a more suitable trip following an excellent run in a competitive event over 1m2f. This softer ground is also in his favour and he very much looks like he’s ready to raise his game again. Well handicapped at present is sure to run a massive race here
5.05 Newmarket – Munaaser – WON 7/4
Had been rather disappointing so far since winning his maiden at Warwick over this trip in really impressive fashion. Now been gelding and by all accounts is working extremely well. Has always been held in very high regard and it will be a big disappointment is he can’t win off this mark and a good deal higher
3.30 York – Kings Fete – WON 5/2
Another lightly raced 3yo taking on his elders and in receipt of plenty of weight. Really impressive when winning his maiden, which looks like a solid race. Has an entry in the Great Voltigeur at York , so clearly held in very high regard and word from Newmarket is that this fellow is considered a good deal better than his current handicap mark
2.20 Haydock – Justice Day (e/w) – WON 5/1
Has run several good races this season at a higher grade than he faces today. Six furlongs with some juice in the ground are ideal conditions. Anything near his 4th in the Temple Stakes would see him go very close here.
3.50 Newcastle – Angel Gabrial (e/w) – WON 4/1
An improving stayer and although 5lbs higher for coming 2nd in the Chester Cup, can be considered unlucky not to have won that race when being sent for home too early. Could well develop into a Group Race performer and strongly fancied.
3.05 Ascot – Cannock Chase – WON 7/4
Very highly regarded by his powerful stable and showed himself as one to follow with an impressive win last time. Albeit this is a fair step up in class and on official ratings he has a bit to find. But, his work recently has been very good and he’s very much expected to prove himself to be at least this standard, and potentially a good deal better.
4.25 Ascot – Integral – WON 9/4
Looking to turn the Newmarket form around with Esoterique and is fancied to do so, having improved for her debut run. Is absolutely flying at home in recent weeks and reports indicate she is better than ever. Conditions are ideal and she is strongly fancied to land this.
3.45 Ascot – Sole Power (e/w) – WON 5/1
With the drying ground perhaps against both Hot Streak and Pearl Secret, whilst being an added bonus for this fellow, he rates a very solid bet. Really impressive when winning at Newmarket , with Shea Shea the likely main danger, he can run his usual consistent high class race and will take a good deal of beating. If around 5/1 is a very very solid ew bet.
4.10 Haydock – Vent De Force – WON 7/4
This was a really impressive winner last time coming from last to first and pulling clear of it’s field. We were very keen to be with him today and are still rowing in, but with a little more caution following the heavy rain last night. He’s sure to be competitive off a much higher mark as the season progresses and even with a little concern over the ground, we expect him to be hard to beat.
4.40 Lingfield – Ski Slope – WON 5/4
Unlike many of the Hannon 2yo’s, Ski Slope looked in need of the experience on her debut. Slowly away and outpaced for much of the race she finished really strongly with the promise of much more to come. Sure to be much sharper this time around, it’ll take a pretty good one to beat her here.
8.30 Kempton – Idea – WON 11/8
A fair drop in class today following a decent enough run when caught wide at York in what looked a very competitive event. Reportedly in need of that run and working very well since, this lightly raced 3yo from the Stoute yard is thought well up to winning this and a good deal better as the season progresses.
4.40 Lingfield – Wahgah (e/w) – WON 7/1
Really well thought of and expected to take the beating last time, but she was unsuited by the soft ground at Nottingham , and also found plenty of trouble in running. Working well since and expected to handle to all weather surface at Lingfield, she can be backed ew against the short priced Gosden Fav.
2.40 Newmarket – Sole Power – WON 9/4
Winner of this race last year and running as well as ever in Dubai behind the likes of Shea Shea. Will be spot on for this and with the prevailing fast ground, as has been reported to us this morning, that’ll suit him, literally down to the ground. He’s the best 5 furlong sprinter in this field and with conditions to suit, should take a good deal of beating.
3.10 Newmarket – Gospel Choir (e/w) – WON 6/1
A decent handicapper last year and as goes with the Stoute older horses, sure to improve a good deal this season. A really taking reappearance over a trip far too short, he stayed on very nicely. This trip is far more suitable and with really only Trading Leather to beat, rates a very solid ew bet. We fancy him to turn the Fav over.
4.15 Newbury – Lucky Beggar (e/w) – WON 5/1
A really consistent and top class handicap sprinter over 5 or 6 furlongs. Equally at home on a slower or quicker surface, he runs well fresh and is very much on a mark he can win off. Did really well in some competitive events as a 3yo last season and rates a one that will continue to improve with age. A decent each way bet at around 8/1.
3.20 Cheltenham – Very Wood (e/w) WON 33/1 < 50/1
A really interesting runner here and one that’ll be suited by the drying ground and step up in trip. Has shown plenty of promise thus far, and was staying on really nicely in a small field behind today’s Fav Briar Hill last time. Connections wouldn’t bring him here for just the run, and he’s very much over priced at around 50/1, albeit in a competitive event.
3.20 Cheltenham – Sire De Grugy WON 11/4
Can’t quite believe the price of this one today. Clearly the best 2 mile chaser in the absence of Sprinter Sacre and has excuses for being beaten atCheltenhampreviously, when giving Kid Cassidy 10 lbs. This ground will help him around here, he’s the class act in the field and should take a lot of beating.
1.30 Cheltenham – Faugheen WON 6/4
The Mullins camps started with a flying winning the 2 mile novice hurdle and very much expected to follow up here. This chap has been ultra impressive every time he’s put foot on the racecourse ever since his debut when slamming yesterday’s Supreme runner up Josses Hill by 22 lengths!! This fella looks potentially top class.
4.55 Doncaster – Shadows Lengthen WON 7/1
Well handicapped at present, although having shown some promise previously was rather disappointing last time. This better ground and a return to form from the stable are big pluses. Very much capable of taking this event, a much better showing is very much expected from this fellow today.
2.55 Lingfield – Rebellious Guest WON 3/1
Very much back to something like his best last time when winning over course and distance in very impressive fashion. Still very well handicapped on his form of a season or so ago, and will take a lot of beating here. He’s very much expected to follow up before stepping up again in grade.
7.00 Kempton – Discussiontofollow WON 7/2
Won his maiden in a hack canter atWolverhamptonin November, having previously shown promise on the turf last season, on his two race course appearances. Then contested a decent handicap back atWolverhampton; and travelled like a very decent sort, always looking the likely winner and just needing to be pushed out. Raised 8lbs for that win and up in grade, this will be harder, but this fellow really looks like a decent prospect and we’d expect him to be capable of winning off this mark and higher in the future.
3.45 Lingfield – Indian Jack (e/w) WON 5/1
A decent performer for both Luca Cumani and Alan Bailey, having won 4 race to date. A good run for this new stable here in October behind a very decent winner. Given a break, he runs well fresh, is well handicapped and fancied to run very well here today.
1.25 Lingfield – Kyllachy Star (e/w) – WON 10/1
Getting on a little now, but without doubt well handicapped even on his best form of last season. Not beaten far on his last run here and with a good 5lbs claimed for a stable running well, he could well cause a bit of a surprise here with a return to from.
Ascot 3.00 Hoblon Des Obeaux – WON 6/4
A winner on his reappearance and then an excellent 6th behind today’s Fav in the Hennessy. He’s much better off at the weights today and will love these softer conditions, very much fancied here.
Lingfield 3.10 Moderstone – WON 4/1
Lightly raced and an improving type. Had no chance last time in a much higher grade, but performed with great credit. Back in handicap company and getting weight from her elders, she holds strong claims here and in time could prove a cut above this class.
12.45 Haydock – Rolling Star – WON 5/2
Looked very good when winning early on last season, but failed to deliver the goods at both Cheltenham and Aintree. Reportedly improved a good deal overt he summer and it’s interesting that the yard take on Far West having finished behind that one at Cheltenham. Potentially better than we’ve seen so far, with the stable in good nick, fancied to get the day off to a good start.
2.30 Sandown – Kapga De Cerisy – WON 4/1
Another soft ground performer who progressed nicely last season; still a relative youngster with plenty more to some, we expect to see a good deal of further improvement this season. With the stable going well, this fella is well fancied here.
2.40 Doncaster – Thomas Hobson (e/w) – WON 9/2
Took a little bit of time to find his feet, finally winning his maiden at the 4th attempt, but hasn’t looked back since, winning twice and finishing second. His last victory was a big improvement and marked him down a very much one to follow. Clearly benefitting from both the soft conditions and step up in trip, he gets both those conditions here again today and looks to hold solid claims. A very progressive type.
7.10 Kempton – Diplomatic (e/w) – WON 8/1
Although the Noseda Fav could be anything and prove hard to beat off a mark of 65, this fellow is without doubt very well handicapped at present and showed a return to form last time. A course and distance winner, he has a lot in his favour today and with the stable going well should run a big race at a nice price.
3.00 Lingfield – Alex Vino – WON 9/4
Made a really promising debut at Newmarket when a staying on 3rd, having never really been put into the race proper. Very much in need of that experience, he’s reported to have improved a bundle for the run, has been working really nicely since and is well fancied.
3.55 Sandown – Penitent – WON 9/4
With the ground now riding soft, this fellow comes into his own, the softer the better. He’s run some good races this season, most notably when 2nd to Gregorian in the Group 3 Diomed Stakes at Epsom. The last time he encountered proper soft ground was here last year when winning the Group 2 Bet365 Mile, and he’s strongly fancied to take all the beating under the prevailing conditions.
3.15 Doncaster – The Lark – WON 15/8
A winner of her maiden at Doncaster as a 2yo, she run a blinder in the Oaks when 3rdbehind Talent. Given too much to do last time in France, this trip with the softer ground conditions should play to her strengths, and in what looks a sub standard renewal of the race, she’ll prove very hard to beat today.
4.45 Doncaster – Breton Rock (e/w) – WON 12/1
Very lightly raced having won his two races as a juvenile, he made a very encouraging reappearance when a very good 2nd to Here Comes When at Chester. He didn’t run his race at Goodwood after that and has been rested and subsequently gelded since. Reportedly back on fire at home, he goes to post with plenty of confidence, even in such a competitive event.
2.30 York – Lucky Kristale – WON 5/2
Had shown a good deal of promise on her first two starts winning like a pretty decent filly. Found out in the Queen Mary when sixth having raced up with the pace. Reverting to hold up tactics made a huge difference last time where she travelled all over a decent field and quickened up like a very good filly. A 3lb penalty makes it a little tricky, but she looks very classy and we expect her to prove herself a class apart from today’s field.
6.45 Newmarket – Almuheet – WON 7/2
From the powerful Stoute yard which has had a bit of a resurgence this year, which is nice to see for the sport. Really good messages from Newmarket for this one. Reportedly working very well of late, he’s fancied to take a fair deal of beating on his debt.
1.50 York – Our Obsession – WON 11/4
Landed a brilliant touch for us last season, backed from 25/1 into 6/1 and winning very well. Given plenty of time to come to herself this season, she’s now flying at home again and off a mark of 84 is thought to be on a lenient mark. She goes to post with plenty of stable confidence behind her.
1.50 Newmarket – Snowboarder – WON 13/2
A pity we’ve a non runner, so we’ll advise a win bet rather than each way, as we’d have done with the 8 runners. Progressive as a 2yo, winning 3 times. He’s only been campaigned in Dubai as a 3yo, but ran with a lot of credit in some nice races. He’s really thrived since last racing in March and is very much considered better than his handicap mark, having held a St James Palace entry at Royal Ascot!
8.15 Sandown – Mighty Yar – WON 11/4
Once race 3yo for the Cecil yard, he made a really good impression when winning his maiden at Lingfield last season. Very much in need of the experience, when he got the hang of things close home, he really stretched out well and won with a good deal in hand. Working well on the Newmarket gallops, a mark of 76 looks to be very workable.
4.00 Pontefract – Gifted Girl – WON 9/4
A real improver this year from 3 to 4, and won in impressive style on her return to action when bolting up from a previously impressive winner at Ascot. Then stepped up in grade, she ran a cracker to be 2nd to Thislte Bird at Epsom, when not quite handling the track that day. Lady’s First renews rivalry having run very well at Royal Ascot, but there is plenty of confidence that Gifted Girl will confirm the Epsom form and take a lot of beating today.
4.40 Newmarket – Monsieur Rieussec (e/w) – WON 7/1
Plenty of promise as a juvenile and one that was always going to improve with age. Given plenty of time by his trainer, he was very much in need of his return, but is reported to be much sharper with that run under his belt. Considered to be well handicapped on a mark of 77, he’s fancied to run a big race at a nice price.
7.55 Sandown – Ashaadd (e/w) – WON 8/1
We’re keeping our faith with this one, following a slightly unlucky unplaced effort on his seasonal reappearance, where he was squeezed for room at a vital stage, he then stayed on nicely under a tender ride. With good support for a couple from the bigger Newmarket stables, we’re looking at a nice price of around 12/1. With Ryan Moore in the saddle we rate him as a nice bet.
1.35 Epsom – Thistle Bird – WON 3/1
Really progressive last year and a good reappearance run at Newmarket, when 3rd behind Dank. Sure to have improved a good deal for that run, the rain will not be a problem and with that Newmarket run under her belt, she’s fancied to prove hard to beat here.
4.00 Redcar – Clon Brulee – WON 9/2
A winner of two race last year, he showed huge improvement last time when absolutely bolting up. Running under a 6lb penalty for that win and in a more competitive event here things won’t be easy, but such was the impression made when winning last time, he’s fancied to take this event as well; he was very impressive.
3.50 Newbury – Farhh – WON 10/3
Top class performer last year over 1 mile and 10 furlongs, just finding the likes of Nathaniel and Frankel a little too classy. He’s goes well fresh, and along with Cityscape are the class acts in the field. Working well at Newmarket, he’s fancied to take some beating here.
2.55 Newbury – Maureen- WON 7/2
Looked a filly of the highest order last year, with a very unlucky 2nd at Newmarket followed by a comprehensive win at Ascot. Not herself when well beaten on her final outing; she is bred to appreciate this trip, unlike the Fav; and vibes from the yard are very encouraging. She could well be a major player for the Guineas at around 3pm today.
2.40 Ayr – Court Minstrel – WON 4/1
A real speed merchant over hurdles, he’ll appreciate this drying ground and still looks pretty well handicapped and what he’s done so far. Grumeti sets a fair standard here, but this fellow getting just over a stone with his jockeys claim, will be hard to beat.
2.55 Newmarket: Windhoek (e/w) – WON 6/1
Very green on his debut last year, but still managed to beat a very decent runner up with 4 lengths back to the field, with some nice types in behind. Stable are going well and he’s reportedly in really good form at home and quietly fancied to cause an upset against the odds on Fav.
2.40 Nottingham – Mayfield Girl (e/w) – WON 40/1
A winner early on last season as a juvenile, she was one that always promised to be more of a 3yo, once she had strengthened up, and reports are very encouraging for a good 3yo season. Off the same mark as she has won off before, she’s been completely overlooked by the bookmakers at 33/1 and is a very interesting runner at that price, for a stable that had a good 2nd yesterday.
3.40 Aintree – Triolo D’Alene (e/w) – WON 14/1
Looked very useful on his British debut, but since then has mainly been racing on unsuitably soft conditions. With the ground drying at Aintree, we’re looking forward to him showing what he’s capable of; and albeit in an ultra competitive event, he make plenty of appeal here.
3.05 Aintree – Zarkandar e/w – WON 11/2
As ever ran his heart out in the Champion Hurdle, but it’s clear he needs a step up in trip and that’s exactly what he gets here. Reportedly working brilliantly since Cheltenham and a strong fancy.
2.55 Lingfield – Teophilip ew – WON 10/1
On jockey bookings looks to be the stables 2nd string, but has a really nice profile of an improving type. Won in nice style last time and some interesting money for him here. Could well cause a bit of a surprise here.
1.30 Cheltenham – Our Conor – WON 4/1
Really impressive in Ireland, the form has consistently been given a boost, his jockey is going to be full of confidence with a winner yesterday, he looks a real class act over hurdles, so slick in his jumping. Sure to be very hard to beat.
4.40 Cheltenham – Same Difference (ew) – WON 16/1
He’s run some really good races in some top novice events this season, especially when close up to Unioniste and Hadrians Approach. With the stable back in form, he’s a very interesting runner in this amateurs event.
1.35 Huntingdon – Seymour Eric (e/w) – WON 6/1
A real improver this year follow a switch of stables to the Keighley yard; he’s won his 2 starts and was very impressive last time, winning as he liked and looking full of running when the rest of the field were out on their feet. An entry at Cheltenham signals connections feel he’s still more to give at this level and higher and at around 7/1 rates a good each way bet here against less progressive types.
1.15 Cheltenham – Katenko (e/w) – WON 4/1
Quite apt following on from the previous race, Katenko looks to be a potential top notcher based on his last performance. Even off a much higher mark, he was so impressive he’s strongly fancied to take this step up in his stride. With a Gold Cup entry connections clearly hold him in high regard; he’s plenty of pace for this trip and a good win here could well see him take up that Gold Cup engagement. In which case a mark of 147 could still prove to be lenient.
5.00 Wolverhampton – Seek The Fair Land (e/w) – WON 14/1
A multiple winner on the all weather in the past, he’s a decent animal on his day and a very interesting runner here. A winner and Windsor in May and off a higher mark in the past; he runs for the Jamie Osbourne yard for the first time today, and our message is that he’s really flying at home and ready to run a big race for connections at the first time of asking.
1.50 Newbury – Sustainability (e/w) – WON 7/2
Really progressive last season winning 4 on the bounce over hurdles and clearly happy in soft conditions. A promising debut reappearance over fences, but didn’t jump well in a decent event at Sandown last time. A better round of jumping over this slightly less demanding course will see him go close.
1.25 Sandown – Araldur (e/w) – WON 10/1
Can take advantage of a lower mark over hurdles, on ground that suits at a track he’s won at before. Runs well fresh and with the stable in such good form, he’s sure to run a big race on his return to action. Vibes from the yard are very positive.
3.40 Lingfield – Joe The Coat – 3rd 25/1
Lightly raced and given a break since his last race at Newmarket. He ran with promise the time before at Kempton and is just the type the stable cause a surprise with. He’s had a few entries recently and is an interesting runner at a big price.
1.45 Cheltenham – Double Ross (e/w) – WON 14/1
Hasn’t taken to fences and returns to hurdles with conditions right up his street, as he revels in soft conditions. His 3rd to Red Merlin at Haydock is as good as any form in this race and with the ground likely to be against many of the field whilst playing to his strengths his chance is clear. Likely to be up with the pace, he can dictate a suitable pace and prove hard to pass. At around 16/1 he’s worth taking a price about.
2.40 Kempton – Fox Appeal (e/w) – WON 15/2
Although the Paul Nicholls fav may prove hard to beat, Fox Appeal really caught the eye last time and looks a real improver for this season. A winner of 3 races, he then ran a very creditable race at the Cheltenham Festival, only fading from the last flight. First time out this season, he travelled as well as any thing in the field, but just wasn’t put into the race, coming home at his own time. With that run under his belt, he’s sure to be spot on for today and be very competitive.
3.20 Lingfield – Tempest Fugit (e/w) – WON 16/1
She won her maiden in impressive style at the 3rd time of asking, having very much been in need of her previous experience. She then took a massive step up in class at Ascot in a competitive listed event and having been given too much to do in pretty testing conditions, she stayed on really nicely; a run that promised plenty for the future. Reported to have really thrived at home since then, she’s fancied to run a big race at a decent price, and we do expect to see plenty of money around for her today.
3.30 Aintree – For Non Stop (e/w) – WON 4/1
A very good hurdler, he translated that form over fences as a novice last season and looks very much one to follow. He improved with each run last season, is suited by ground conditions and this flat course looks ideal as he seems slightly better on a flat track. The stable are running well and still lightly races there is definitely more to come from this horse.
4.40 Newmarket – Trading Leather – WON 5/2
With Dawn Approach dominating the Dewhurst, Mr Bolger clearly has a strong line for the 2yo’s this year and such is the regard Trading Leather is held, he must be considered here. Along with a very promising debut 2nd in a listed event and his stunning 7 length victory last time he looks to be a potentially top class performer and is fancied to give his trainer a Guineas and Derby dream for next season with this fella and Dawn Approach.
4.05 Newmarket – Just The Judge (e/w)- WON 6/1
A really nice looking filly with a touch of class. She’s won both her outings thus far, travelling very powerfully both times and showing an impressive turn of foot to win both races with plenty in hand. She showed a few decent colts the way last time and her form stands up to anything in this field. She’s a very nice prospect.
2.20 Newmarket – Reckless Abandon – WON 9/4
Quite simply the best sprinting 2yo in Europe this season, with impressive wins at Royal Ascot and the 2 main French races, where his most visually impressive victory was last time in the Group One Prix Morny. He had far too much pace for a decent field that day, breaking quickly, nabbing the rail from a wide draw and making all. Still unbeaten and the one to beat.
3.55 Newmarket – Our Obsession (e/w) WON 13/2 < 25/1
A real eye catcher for us on her debut, looking very much in need of the experience, but still staying on in taking fashion in the closing stages, looking for the world that run would result in a lot of future improvement. Reported to have really thrived at home since that run. Bred to appreciate the step up in trip and ground, she looks over priced for such a promising individual.
3.10 Redcar – Eton Forever (e/w) – WON 3/1
A good winner at Royal Ascot on soft ground, he is another who’s expected to put his best foot forward now back on softer underfoot conditions. He lost two shoe’s last time so can be easily forgiven and has been working really well on the Newmarket gallops of late, so goes to post in fine form.
4.15 Goodwood – Eagles Peak (e/w) (MAX BET) – 6/1 Bet365 – WON 7/2
Very lightly raced having just 2 races so far, he made a real impression on his debut as a 3yo, winning a decent maiden at Newmarket in very good style. The 2nd that day raced off a mark of 107 last time, and Eagles Peak is currently rated 95 !! He disappointed at York next time, but can be forgiven that run. Given time to recover, he’s been working extremely well and with the stable renowned for bring on older horses, he’s a strong fancy to prove himself much better than a handicapper in time. Our stable contact in ultra confident he’s a very decent animal. We advise you take the best price available.
6.20 Kempton – Position (e/w)- WON 9/2
An improving handicapper for the Sir Mark Prescott yard, who won well for us the time before last. He improved on that effort again last time when 3rd in what we feel is a better contest that today’s a race. He’s got form on the track and a reproduction or even further improvement on his last run will see him go very close here.
3.05 Newbury – Grandeur – WON 6/4
A pretty decent season so far with two wins and he still looks to be steadily improving, especially when he gets decent ground as he’ll have today. A really good winner at Goodwood, he managed to match that run on softer than ideal conditions last time when staying on in 3rd in a Group 3 event. Any improvement on that run back on faster ground and he’ll be hard to beat here, getting weight from the entire field.
5.30 Yarmouth – Malekov – WON 9/2
Showed a great deal of improvement last time when winning his maiden, having been well beaten on his debut. He stayed on to great effect last time and this step up in trip will se further improvement. His work at home has been very good since his win and he goes to post with plenty of stable confidence behind him.
3.05 Doncaster – Sole Power – WON 5/2
Without doubt the class act in the field and a very strong favourite to land his first win on the season. He’s clear top rated, a replication of his form when close up in the Temple Stakes and King Stand at Royal Ascot would make him very hard to beat. Badly drawn last time in the Nunthorpe, it would be a big shock if he were beaten here.
3.45 York – Van Ellis (e/w) – WON 8/1 < 20/1
A bit of a favourite of ours having won well for us at Chester the time before last. We’ve been waiting for Van Ellis to run of 6 furlongs ever since his debut as he shows so much speed. In an very competitive event, 20/1 looks fair value with Mr Fallon in the pilots seat.
3.45 Chester – Van Ellis (e/w)- WON 7/1
Not ideally drawn, but one we’ve been waiting to drop back in trip following efforts over a mile at Royal Ascot and here at Chester. A big drop in class will make things easier and he’s a strong fancy to give weight away to some inferior rivals.
7.00 Curragh – Ursa Major – WON 11/4
A rare bet in Ireland, but Ursa Major really impressed when winning his handicap debut having shown plenty of promise prior to that. The step up in trip clearly suited and he blew his rivals away inside the final furlong. A fairly steep rise in the handicap, but we don’t think that will stop him and expect he’ll develop into much better than a handicapper judged on the impression he made last time.
8.35 Newbury – Khione – WON 15/8
A very good return to action, winning her maiden in really taking fashion, with her and the 2nd pulling 10 lengths clear of the field. The 2nd has since bolted up and the form look solid. From the Cumani yard, she’s sure to improve again, the step up in trip looks ideal, she acts with cut in the ground and with Fallon in the saddle we’ve a lot in our favour.
3.05 Ascot – Sea Moon – WON 3/1
Top class form last year when bolting up in the Voltiguer, followed by a slightly unlucky 3rd in the St Leger. He then ran a great race to be 2nd to St Nicolas Abbey at the Breeders Cup. His reappearance was a good blow out and he did well to win, having made to running. He’s much better than that, the class act in the field, ground is fine, trip is fine, stable had a winner here yesterday, he should win.
3.45 Ascot – Most Improved (e/w) – Generally 8/1 – WON 9/1
On his 2yo form he’s very closely matched with Power the favourite from last years Dewhurst, which was only Most Improved’s 3rd run, so he’d be open to more improvement. A huge talking horse over the winter, where his home work caused him to be the gamble of the 2000 Guineas, only for a minor setback to cause him to miss the race. A reappearance in the French Derby can be forgotten as it was a very rough race and he got no run whatsoever. That will have put him spot on for today, and at 8/1 he looks the bet of the day for us.
2.35 York – Navajo Chief (e/w) – WON 6/1
A really consistent soft who’s competed at a slightly higher grade for quite some time. A drop into handicap company last time saw another good run behind the progressive Danadana. A drop back in trip on softer ground will be in his favour and from a good draw he can prove very hard to pass today.
1.35 Epsom – Wrotham Heath (e/w) – WON 5/1
A really impressive winner of his maiden last season, he ran a cracking race on his reappearance when 2nd to Ektihaam who went to run a close 2nd to Derby fancy Bonfire in the Dante. Wrotham Heath didn’t stay last time when travelling strongly. The step back in trip should bring about a return to form.
7.55 Sandown – Carlton House ; Evens -Paddy Power & Stan James
The return of Carlton House and we fully expect it to be a winning one at what we believe to be his best trip. An impressive winner of the Dante last year, he then ran well in both the English and Irish Derby’s albeit perhaps slightly under achieving. Reported to have blossomed from 3 to 4, and putting in some really impressive work at Newmarket, a winning return is expected. We’d suggest you take the even money available, as we feel he’ll go off a shade of odds on.
8.40 Sandown – Miss Cato – 4/1 Betfred – WON 7/2
Hit the ball running with 2 wins in her first 3 races, albeit at Southwell and Wolverhampton. She then won a handicap in nice style at Yarmouth when making all. Last time saw further improvement at Nottingham when she looked like she had the race in the bag but for tiring in the very soft ground. Still clearly ahead of the handicapper, the slight drop back in trip along with the better ground can see her hard to pass.
5.55 Newmarket – Burke’s Rock – WON 13/8 < 5/1
She won her maiden in really nice style on only her 2nd racecourse appearance in February, and looks to be on a fair mark judged on that form and her recent home reports. The stable typically do well in these type of races with lightly raced fillies, and we expect Burke’s Rock to continue that trend.
4.45 Chester – Rosslyn Castle (e/w) – WON 7/1
A really promising debut last year was backed up by an emphatic win at Windsor on his reappearance this season, when he won in fashion of a very decent type. Experience around the bends at Windsor will stand him in good stead here; and being by Selkirk a little cut in the ground shouldn’t be a problem. We’re looking forward to him running again this afternoon.
3.10 Newmarket – Camelot – WON 15/8
Camelot looked top top class last year when winning both his runs, especially when winning the Racing Post Trophy in very impressive fashion. The vibes from the yard are that Camelot is the real deal and will take an awful lot of beating here.
3.45 Newbury – Captain Bertie (e/w) – WON 7/1
Captain Bertie was the proverbial eye catcher last time in the Spring Mile, where he got stopped in his run on numerous times before flying home and gaining several lengths inside the final furlong on the leaders, another 100 yards and he’s have won. Up only 1lb he’s pretty much a winner without a penalty and looks the most likely winner.
2.40 Newbury – Gregorian (e/w) 7/1 Bet 365 – WON 3/1
Although there is a very strong word for the Roger Varian horse here, we are very keen on Gregorian who made a real impression when running away with his maiden on his 3rd start last season. He’s been working exceptionally well on the gallops at Newmarket and with the stable in really good form looks to have an outstanding chance. With the fav being such a short price, we’re getting decent odds so can play confidently each way at 7/1.
3.25 Aintree – Saint Are (e/w) – WON 11/1
Very much a flat track performer, having won a Grade One Novice Hurdle here last season and also run his best race this season at Doncaster when just beaten by Harry The Viking. He’s run with promise at times at Cheltenham, but is not suited by that course. Back at Aintree and on a workable handicap mark for a horse of his talent, we expect a return to form from Saint Are and a huge run.
2.00 Lingfield – My Freedom (e/w) – WON 7/2 < 9/2
Shown glimpses last year that he’s a very capable performer if a little quirky and very much capable of winning off his current mark. Has been working really well of late at Newmarket and could be one to catch first time out.
4.15 Aintree – Edgardo Sol (e/w) – WON 9/2 < 6/1
We feel the Paul Nicholls stable could have a very good day today, and that Edgardo Sol is the yards best bet of the day. A really progressive hurdler this season, culminating in a fine 2nd at Cheltenham off a stone higher than where he started from when winning at Cheltenham in November. Prior to that he’d run in a couple of handicap chases, wining the last of those here at Aintree. If as expected he translates that improvement over fences, then he’s in with a big shout here.
4.20 Kempton – Easter Sun – WON 3/1
A really good winner on his debut, he then got stuck in the mud at Sandown. He’s been working like a very good horse on the gallops at Newmarket, and is expected to prove himself a class act here.
3.45 Kempton – Laugh out Loud (e/w) – WON 6/1 < 10/1
Very lightly raced, she improved leaps and bounds for her debut and duly bolted up last time here at Kempton. This is a big step up in class, but we feel she’s a very good filly and can cause a surprise at a nice price.
3.15 Kempton – Thimaar (e/w) – WON 4/1
Was well touted last season but proved a disappointment; that was until he stepped up to a staying trip on his final start where he ran a decent field ragged over 2 miles at Ascot. Raised only 4lbs for that run and reportedly working well, Thimaar goes to post a strong fancy. We suggest you take the best morning price.
3.30 Kempton – Charles Camoin (e/w) – WON 15/2
A good winner at the Derby meeting last year, he than ran a solid race at Royal Ascot. Rested since then he comes into this season still unexposed, has reportedly been working well and is fancied to run very well.
3.35 Wolverhampton: Jarrow – E/W – WON 6/1
Back to his best last season for Dandy Nicholls, has an excellent record on the all weather and looks to have an excellent chance on his reapperance.
7.00 Kempton – Street Power (e/w) – WON 15/2
Following a number of below par runs, Street Power has plummeted down the weights and is currently on a very attractive handicap mark. He showed a lot of promise last time that a return to form was imminent when looking the possible winner before being collared inside the final furlong and then being heavily eased once his chance had gone. Dropped further in the weights and with a very able claiming jockey on board, Street Power looks to have an excellent chance at around 10/1.