A great run of results, coinciding with the start of the Flat Season.
Over the last 3 days we’ve advised 6 bets in the UK, 4 winners and 2 places, with 1 loser in Meydan…
Saturday 27th March:
2.00 Doncaster – Top Rank (e/w) – generally 6/1
Does have to concede a 5lb penalty here, but could easily progress to a higher level, as he’s such a big horse and still only run 7 times. A winner on 5 occasions, he’s improved with every run so far, so no reason why there isn’t more to come and reports suggest he’s in great form at home. He does have a little to find with Montatham on York form last season, but Top Rank had a bad draw that day, and subsequently improved when winning at Group 3 level at Haydock. His final run saw him last of 6 at Newmarket behind Kameko, but he ran better than that final position suggests, just fading in the closing stages when seemingly not handling the dip. He won fresh before, and looks to hold very strong claims despite giving his rivals weight.
Result: WON 11/2
3.10 Doncaster – Orbaan (e/w) – 40/1 Paddy Power & Betfair, generally 33/1
Skybet (33/1) Top 7 Places, majority of bookmakers Top 5 Places.
As ever a hugely competitive field and whilst the 4yo’s have done well in recent years, the market leaders offer no real value here. Orbaan however is a pretty big price considering he’s only 2lbs higher than when winning a competitive handicap at York impressively last season. Whilst he didn’t quite back that up, he did run a few fair races following that in competitive fields. The stable won this in 2017, so know what’s required and Orbaan has had a wind op since last season, so a chance he’ll take a step forward. He’s a classy type and is worth backing at a big price.
Result: 5th 40/1
3.45 Doncaster – Royal Commando (e/w) – 16/1 Bet365, Paddy Power & Betfair, otherwise generally 14/1
Looks to have been overlooked in the market here, as he’s not got a lot to find on ratings, if you take out the Fav, who’s started to prove a little tricky in the stalls and is now a 9yo. A winner here as a 2yo, Royal Commando ran 4th on his reappearance last year in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot, and a repeat of that would see him extremely competitive. He was then tried over 7f at times, and simply didn’t stay. Still lightly raced, he clearly runs well fresh, has reportedly been working nicely with the very classy Khaadem and is a sprinter we don’t feel we’ve yet to see the best of.
Result: WON 15/2
Sunday 28th March:
3.05 Doncaster – Throne Hall (e/w) – 9/2 William Hill, generally 4/1
William Hill & Paddy Power Top 5 Places, generally Top 4.
Could potentially be very well handicapped and if following on from close relatives like Appeared and Apparate, then he’ll only improve with age and experience. A nice 3rd on his only run as a 2yo, proving he handles a quick surface, he then won his maiden at Hamilton when reappearing as a 3yo. Just the one run following that, but is was some effort to push Ilaraab close at Beverley considering that one won its next 2 starts and is now rated a stone higher. Only only a 4 runner race, Thorne Hall had the other two, who are very solid performers well beaten. The stable runners ran well at Doncaster yesterday, suggesting they are plenty forward enough, and whilst stall 16 isn’t ideal, Thorne Hall should go very close.
Result: WON 9/2
4.50 Doncaster – Lexington Dash (e/w) – 10/1 Ladbrokes & Bet365, generally 9/1
William Hill & Paddy Power Top 5 Places, generally top 4.
The prevailing fast ground will really suit Lexington Dash, who’s shown all his best form on a quick surface. An impressive winner on his reappearance last season at Newmarket, he then followed up to win impressively again off a mark just 4lbs lower than he races off here. He was a little unlucky when flying home into 4th in one of the top 3yo sprints at the July course, on ground softer than ideal, and was also unlucky in running in the Stewards Cup, where he could easily have finished a good deal closer with a clearer run. Tried over 7f and on unsuitable ground on his last 3 runs, he then dropped a few pounds in the handicap as a result. Back on a quick surface here, off a fair mark and with improvement to come now he’s a little older and stronger, he looks to hold solid claims in a competitive sprint handicap.
Result: 2nd 5/1 (beaten a short head)
Monday 29th March:
3.50 Stratford – Born Survivor – generally 10/3
We’re keen to give this chap another chance after a decent enough run at Cheltenham last time, in a much stronger race, where he travelled well for a long way. A further 3lbs down in the weights and down into a grade where when encountering a decent surface he’s unbeaten, having run in class 3 or 4 company 5 times, winning 4 and only losing on heavy ground. This is by far the easiest race he’s run in since winning by 7 lengths off a mark of 142 in April 2019; his claims are obvious.
Result – WON 5/2
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